Our modern ways of life depend on RE in electronic circuits. But REO supply is in China's hands. Should we worry about this?

Since 1995 China supplies over 95% of rare earth metals (REM)[1] from the dessert of Mongolia to the world. REM are important parts in hi-tech electronics. Mobile phones, computers, laser devices, electric motors and vehicles, and electronic devices work mainly becuase of REM components.
 
RE Oxides production from 1950-2000
[Image from Wikipedia:Rare Earth Element]


RE Oxides (REO) production from 2001-2010 is estimated at 120 kt (thousand tonnes) annually (total of 1,200 kt in 10 years). Some 40 kt had been exported (leaving some 80 kt for use by Chinese manufacturers[2]).
 
The world demand for REO is very strong and growing. The demand is expected to be (40 kt) more than supply in the next decade. The search for new supply sources of REO is now on [3]. But there are difficulties and barriers to entry. New sources may not be realized for some years.
 
In September 2009, China capped REO export level to 30 kt per annum. INTEL (a CPU maker) announced setting up a chips production plant in Vietnam (using Vietnam's REO). In October 2010 China blocked supply to Japan [4]. Japan started recycling electronic waste. Vietnam signed an agreement to supply REO[5] (also agricultural produce) to Japan.  
 
It is expected that China will hold a significant market share and strong position for electronic and other hi-tech devices because of their control of world supply of REO. Having cheaper and steady REO supply also gives Chinese manufacturers big advantages in prices and fast delivery time. China would, of course, not confirm or deny these market manipulations.
 
A question on China's control of RE-based products and RE markets and the impacts on end-user countries (like Thailand) is now a major concern. The point of importance is that today nearly everything depends on electronics: computers, communications, medical devices, weapons and war machinery, jetliners and airports, ships and transport links and controls, water treatments and water supplies, electricity grids and ...

The future electric vehicles (using rare earth magnet electric motors, rare earth oxides batteries and electronic control devices) will be most likely made in China.

Electric trains, solar panels, electricity generators, and fuel cells are some of the 'future' technologies which depend on RE. Quantum devices (computers) are based on REM.
   
Our modern ways of life depend on RE in electronic circuits. But REO supply is in China's hands. Should we worry about this?

 
 

<NB 1> What are Rare Earth Metals (See Wikipedia: Rare Earth Element) and their uses.
 
<NB 2> The volume of electronic components and products "made in China" in the world market is a result of having abundant RE supply (from ...). Substantial inefficiency in the use of RE is due to 'cheap-gadget' and 'throw-away' designs. The life of electronic devices may be designed for by using the rates of decay of REM.
 
<NB 3> It has been suggested that electronic wastes/discards are a good source of REM. There may be upto 300 kt of REO available for recycle worldwide.
 
<NB 4> This may be the result of an incident involving a Chinese fishing ship and a Japanese coast guard.
 
<NB 5> REO deposits have been found in central mountainous regions (Lai Châu Province between North and South) Vietnam. Other deposits are in India, Brazil, South Africa, Australia, Sweden, Calfiornia USA, Canada and Mongolia (37% of proven worlf reserve but producing 97% of world supply).
 
<NB 6> RE ores are found in concentration of 1%-5% of sand. Toxic acids are used to extract ores leaving vast amount of contaminated and toxic tailings. There are many serious environmental problems including toxic water and radiation from REO mining.