อนุทิน 174705

Democracy vs Statistics

Democracy : a system of government by the ‘majority’ of the people; a government in which the supreme power is vested in the people and exercised by them directly or indirectly through a system of representation usually involving periodically held free elections.

Statistics: The Central limit Theorem states that when sample size tends to infinity, the sample mean will be normally distributed. The Law of Large Number states that when sample size tends to infinity, the sample mean equals to population mean.

How naive are the philosophers and academics to believe [in the assumption that people are good and rational] that governments emerge from free elections [by the people] would be statistically for the ‘mean’ (average) people (satisfying to the majority of the people).

Politicians are not statisticians! Though they both manipulate samples (and population), and elections. Hence the mean (and average). Is the difference in for ‘biased’ or for ‘free’ outcomes?